Exploratory Scenarios

Exploratory scenarios


Purpose

Explorations of plausible futures can be based on different data sources. In this toolkit, we distinguish between quantitative, semi-quantitative and qualitative scenario tools.

WHAT

Visioning

WHEN

Exploratory scenarios

SUGGESTED SESSION PREPARATION

Time frame:

2- 4 hours

Scenarios have an explorative character: they describe a range of alternative plausible futures – future situations that may happen. Exploratory scenarios work from the basic understanding that it is not possible, in complex systems under uncertain futures, to predict the most likely future. Instead, with multiple scenarios one can explore the ‘what if’ question: what happens to our plans and strategies under very different assumptions about future trends like climate change, energy transition, demography, lifestyle and technology – creating completely different, challenging scenarios? Explorations of plausible futures can be based on different data sources.

Quantitative tools

Semi-quantitative tools

Qualitative tools

Quantitative tools like computer modelling process large amounts of data from the past and present to extrapolate drivers of past and present change in the future. The following online platforms could assist and nurture the discussion under different energy scenarios:
Some platforms providing useful information to support the discussion are:

It is important to communicate these complex scenarios in an appealing and clear way to participants, for instance using visualization techniques like realistic
photographs, maps or illustrative charts that picture the local neighborhood, city or farmland under alternative plausible circumstances.

Semi-quantitative tools also show plausible future trends but without quantitative extrapolations. This can be a solution when quantitative scenarios are not publicly available. These tools work well if you expect change to happen, but it can be in any direction, like for example economic growth.

A wide range of futures can also be explored using more qualitative tools, where participants themselves actively work with exploring different possible futures. These tools open the floor for participants to explore what change may happen in the future given existing trends or small signals
of change.

Additional Tools to support sessions

Visual GIS maps (e.g. 2D, 3D, fly-over) of the neighborhood, city or region under different (energy) scenarios can be used as a tool to stimulate the ability of imagine plausible future situations.

Visual maps make use of people’s emotional connection to the place and as such bring energy issues to life. Having an expert explaining exploratory scenarios also supports trust building by potential end users of energy services, such as citizens and policymakers.

Poker design cards. It can be used by participants to explore futures based on local citizen narratives collected in early interviews, surveys or focus groups. The cards contained relevant elements which citizens thought could impact the local context. They can be divided into three categories: climate change and energy; infrastructure and territory; and resources and actors. Participants are asked to randomly pick one card of each category and use these to describe possible future situations.

Remote Advice

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History Map

History Map


Purpose

The main purpose of this activity is to remind and reflect on what group members or participants have been through and to create a collective experience and shared story. Every individual will gain a shared idea of what the group has been through together



WHAT

Mapping and reflection

WHEN

Responsible Research and Innovation (RRI) priorities reflection

SUGGESTED SESSION DURATION

Time frame: 60-120min | Group size: 2-40+ | Facilitation level: Medium | Materials: Multi-colored markers Roll of paper Sticky notes (Optional) Old Magazines, glue, scissors (Optional) Candles.

Use this exercise at the end of a project/phase or program as a way to reinforce learnings, celebrate highlights and create closure.

Roll out a long piece of paper (5-10 meters) on the floor or on a wall. Draw a timeline representing the period of a project or team experience. Include months and a couple of key events such as highlights and lowlights. If the project is very long - consider including the last 3-6 months.

Have participants capture their experiences. They could include their highlights, lowlights, learnings, challenges, successes, and anything else that was important to them. Give them enough time (15-30 min) to capture their top experiences and place them on the timeline. A creative alternative choice for a face-to-face session is to follow the same guidelines but using magazine cut-outs or drawing rather than use sticky notes.

After the map has been created, ask participants to share their top (1-3) Highs and Lows. The number of Highs/Lows they share is up to the facilitator. It depends on the group size and the time you have. Nominate a time-keeper if you choose.

Optional Final Step. Have the participants reflect individually, in silence, on the experiences they have just shared and heard and chose the most important moment for them. Give about 2-3 minutes for this step. Then, one-by-one, participants place a sticky note or a candle (a tea light) on the moment that has been the most important to them and have them briefly describe why. Continue until all participants have placed a candle and shared.

Remote advice

Create a timeline on your virtual whiteboard (Miro or Mural) and draw from the instructions above. Tip: Provide a short demo video, or send simple instructions ahead of time, if needed, for the virtual whiteboard before your workshop/meeting. You can find plenty of instructional text and video online.

Facilitator: Pre-create virtual sticky notes, emojis, etc. for people to capture their experiences and place onto the virtual whiteboard. Consider putting on (mellow) music while the participants work.

Participants use a virtual candle or sticky note.

Participants use a virtual candle or sticky note. 


Online support: Digital Whiteboard (ie: Miro or Mural)

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RRI Reflection Exercise

RRI reflection exercise


Purpose

This methodology setting aims to involve key actors from the energy and innovation systems in a common reflection and exchange in the energy transition context to discuss how to build more open, inclusive and responsive regional R&I ecosystems.

WHAT

Responsible Reserach and Innovation (RRI) priorities reflection

WHEN

Mapping and reflection

SUGGESTED SESSION DURATION

Time frame:

2- 4 hours

This methodology setting aims to involve key actors from the energy and innovation systems in a common reflection and exchange in the energy transition context to discuss how to build more open, inclusive and responsive regional R&I ecosystems.

In order to provide the necessary atmosphere and trust space for the participants, it is suggested to create breakout groups of discussion after an introductory reflection.

Discuss the following questions in the breakout groups and answer them considering your personal experience:

  1.  What are the drivers in energy & innovation and what are the barriers? 

  2. What are the directions that you consider desirable, responsible and better aligned with societal needs and demand in the energy system?

  3. Are stakeholders in the energy system able to find, meet and engage? 

  4. Who should be involved in the Innovation process and when they should be involved /how? 

  5. Who is in the position to influence the directionality of R&I and who should be included?

  6. What might be possible drivers, enabling factors for RRI implementation in your territory? What, on the contrary, you see as main obstacles related to the possible introduction of RRI:

    •  within your organisation

    •  at territorial and policy level.

Reflect on the answers of the different groups and comment on the results.


Remote Advice

 For an online setting, we suggest to create breakout sessions using Zoom, Microsoft Teams or similar platforms. You can also use Padlet, Miro, Mural as an online dashboard to collect the answers from the breakout sessions.

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Self-assessment

Self-assessment 


Purpose

There are many ways we can get aware of how far we are incorporating the values and ways of working in a responsible and innovative way. The self-reflection tool provides the questions that will trigger on each of us the reflection process and offers an invitation to discuss, talk, exchange ideas and to meditate on our own practices. 

WHAT

Mapping and reflection

WHEN

Responsible Research and Innovation (RRI) priorities reflection

SUGGESTED SESSION DURATION

Time frame:

1 hour

There are many ways we can get aware of how far we are incorporating the values and ways of working in a responsible and innovative way. The self-reflection tool provides the questions that will trigger on each of us the reflection process and offers an invitation to discuss, talk, exchange ideas and to meditate on our own practices. 

ETHICS

GENDER EQUALITY


GOVERNANCE

Focuses on (1) research integrity: the prevention of unacceptable research practices; and (2) science and society: the ethical acceptability of scientific and technological developments:
  • How do you ensure the integrity of your R&I practices?
  • Who is involved in ethics-related reflection and decision-making for your R&I practices, and how?
  • How do you provide for different values, interests and ideals?
  • How do you prevent potentially harmful impacts on the public or the environment?
  • What are possible strategies for preventing the negative implications of your R&I practices?
  • What are possible ethical considerations for your R&I practices?

In RRI gender equality is about promoting gender balance in teams and in decision-making bodies, as well as considering always bodies, and considering always the gender dimension in research and innovation to improve the quality and social relevance of the results:
  • Does your organisation have a gender equality plan?
  • How do you address gender stereotypes?
  • What are your organisation’s gender equality practices regarding staff and working conditions?
  • How is gender equality evaluated within your organisation?
  • How is gender in education, communication or training supported at your organisation?
  • How is gender equality addressed in your R&I practices?
It is any form of coordination that fosters and mainstreams the process dimensions and outcomes of RRI within an organisation or in the interaction with others. It entails hard and soft multilevel structures, guidelines and arrangements with the aim to optimize our responsivity to societal challenges, needs and concerns and to consciously institutionalise responsible practices in science and innovation:
  • What governance instruments does your organisation provide to foster shared responsibility in R&I?
  • Who is involved in setting your R&I agenda?
  • How are views from other research or societal groups included in your R&I practice?
  • How do you ensure your R&I practices can adapt to unforeseen results or societal changes?
  • What resource allocations allow responsible improvements to your R&I practice?
  • What RRI-related training opportunities do you have (gender equality, ethics, open science, etc.)?
  • What organisational changes are needed to adapt your R&I processes to stakeholders’ input?

OPEN SCIENCE

PUBLIC ENGAGEMENT

SCIENCE EDUCATION

Addresses issues of accessibility to and ownership of scientific information. Free and earlier access to scientific work might improve the quality of scientific research and facilitate fast innovation, constructive collaborations among peers and productive dialogue with civil society:
  • How does your organisation approach open science / open access policies?
  • How are open science policies integrated in your organisation?
  • How transparent is the ownership of your work outcomes?
  • Which parts of your work are open access?
  • With whom do you share the results of your work?
  • What framework conditions are made transparent to actors involved?
  • How are your communication activities made accessible to diverse stakeholders?
The process of R&I is collaborative and multi actor: all societal actors (researchers, citizens, policy makers, industry, educators, etc.) work together during the whole research and innovation process in order to align its outcomes to the values, needs and expectations of European society.
  • How do you involve stakeholders and the public in your work?
  • What channels do you use to enable stakeholder participation in the R&I process?
  • At which stage of the R&I process is it most effective for you to engage stakeholders, and why?
  • What does public engagement in the decision-making process mean in your work or organisation?
  • What dimensions are usually discussed during your engagement activities?
  • How do you tailor R&I processes to include stakeholders with different genders, ethnicities, classes, ages, routines, experience, or levels of power?
  • How do you ensure that stakeholders understand and accept their roles and the objectives of their engagement?
  • What measures would have a direct impact on your multi-stakeholder engagement activities?
  • What effects do your engagement activities have on public participants and on your R&I processes?
  • How do you address critical aspects of public engagement activities?
Focuses on (1) enhancing the current education process to better equip citizens with the necessary knowledge and skills so they can participate in research and innovation debates; and (2) increasing the number of researchers (promote scientific vocations).
  • What motivates you to involve research-and-society issues in your science education projects?
  • How do you encourage stakeholder participation in R&I?
  • Which stakeholders are taking part in your education activities, and why?
  • How do you promote reflection on R&I in your science education activities?
  • How do you promote reflection on R&I’s impacts (ethical, legal, economic, environmental, social) in your science education activities?
  • What stages of the R&I process are covered in your educational activities, and why?
  • How do you provide tailored information and education resources to specific stakeholder groups?
  • TIP: For examples on how to answer the questions above, please refer to the online version of this method.

Remote Advice

Source

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Stakeholder Mapping

Stakeholder Mapping


Purpose

Stakeholder mapping is a way of organizing all of the people who have an interest in your project, idea or product in a single visual space. This allows you to easily see who can influence your project and how each person is related to the other.

WHAT

Mapping of stakeholders, policies and definition of regional priorities.

WHEN

Mapping and reflection

SUGGESTED

SESSION

DURATION

Time frame:

2- 4 hours

Stakeholder mapping is typically performed at the beginning of a project. Doing it early on will help prevent miscommunication, ensure all groups are aligned on the objectives and set expectations about outcomes and results. The mapping process usually breaks out into 3 stages—preparation, facilitation, and revision. Actor network mapping gives an overall picture of the network of actors and components in the system. 

List down the core stakeholders on a big sheet of paper.

List down the sub groups of stakeholders.

Connect the stakeholders to each other and describe how they relate to each other. The focus is on roles, grouping and relations. The grouping aspect of the technique is used to organise the actors by their function. Depending on the actor in the centre, this technique emphasises the roles of the other actors in relation to central actor.

Write down the specifics of the relationships between the stakeholders, how, where and why do they communicate?

Document the end result. Analyze the map and identify areas where there is room for improvement.



Remote Advice

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Idea Selection Matrix

Idea Selection Matrix


Purpose

This tool is used for listing and categorizing pre-selected ideas and go further in each of them questioning who is the main target and interested stakeholders and the type of innovation needed.

WHAT

Mapping of stakeholders, policies and definition of regional priorities.

WHEN

Mapping and reflection

SUGGESTED SESSION DURATION

Time frame:

2 hours

Using this tool you can assess in a qualitative way, coherence, feasibility, originality of the concept as well as the engagement of the stakeholder and the potential shared value of the ecosystem.

Create discussion groups and go through each idea identifying the Specific Target Interest, Type of Innovation and Opportunities associated to it. For the qualitative assessment you should assess the: coherence, feasibility, originality, engagement, shared value of each idea.

Revise each idea or established priority by analysing the identified opportunities for all of them. Sort the ideas in order of relevance based on your discussion

Remote Advice

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RIPEET project info session

RIPEET is a Horizon 2020 funded project whose acronym stands for Responsible research and Innovation Policy Experimentations in Energy Transition. The overarching goal of RIPEET is to support policy experimentations for energy transitions in different European regions by bringing together a broad range of stakeholders from the innovation ecosystem.

In the frame of this project, ERRIN is building a community of passionate regional representatives committed to shaping the regional energy vision of the future. You can join this Community of Practice (CoP) by applying to the currently open call for mirror ecosystems (call open till 31 January 2022). A peer learning scheme will be offered to the six successful applicants, who will be able to directly work with one of our three pilot ecosystems (Outer Hebrides in Scotland, Extremadura in Spain, Ostrobothnia in Finland). This is an interesting opportunity for all regions in Europe, and especially the ones trying to develop social innovation or energy transition policies, for example in the framework of their Smart Specialisation Strategy.

Interested to know more? Attend our info session on Thursday 13 January 2022 at 14:00 CET. You will learn how RIPEET can help you develop and implement social innovation policies, mobilise an ecosystem and its stakeholders and ensure inclusive transition processes.

For more information please visit this page.

OTHER INFORMATION

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OTHER INFORMATION

For more information please visit this page.


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